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DC-area forecast: Heavy snow and mixed precipitation to sweep through metro Monday night into Tuesday

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* Winter storm warning for areas along and west of Interstate 95 in D.C. area, including the District, 7 p.m. Monday to 2 p.m. Tuesday *

TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

5/10: Much of the day is quiet and chilly before the siege of snow and wintry mix tonight.

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Increasing clouds. Highs: 40-45.
Tonight: Snow and mixed precipitation, heavy at times. Lows: 29-33.
Tomorrow: Morning snow then afternoon snow showers, blustery. Highs: 33-37.

View the current weather conditions at The Washington Post headquarters.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Today we brace for a major late-winter storm set to begin this evening and continue into Tuesday. Depending on where you live, moderate to heavy amounts of snow could fall or a sloppy mix of snow, sleet and rain. The heaviest snowfall is expected to occur in our far western and northern areas, but the storm will likely will prove disruptive for much of the region through at least Tuesday morning.

We want to stress that this forecast is extremely complex and we have lower confidence in predicted snow amounts than usual. This is especially true along and east of the Interstate 95 corridor where we have reduced our predicted snowfall amounts some.

Starting Wednesday, in the wake of the storm, the region is locked into a winterlike regime with colder-than-normal temperatures through the weekend.

Programming note: We will post a new, detailed update on the storm threat late morning at washingtonpost.com/capitalweathergang

Today (Monday): Through at least midday we expect partly to mostly sunny skies. Clouds increase this afternoon but we should stay dry through at least 5 p.m. or so. Temperatures are chilly, but slightly milder than they were over the weekend, with highs 40-45. Winds are light at around 5-10 mph, initially from the northeast and then backing to out of the southeast. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Light snow or mixed precipitation, especially around the District and to the south and east, begins between 5 and 10 p.m., from south to north. When the precipitation begins, it should be light and temperatures will be well above freezing. In other words, we don’t expect slick roads for the commute home.

Between 8 p.m. and midnight, precipitation should starting picking up in intensity while temperatures edge close to freezing. In our colder areas toward Loudoun County and northern Maryland, snow accumulation may begin. Elsewhere, snow or mixed precipitation may not accumulate much in this window.

The best chance for accumulating snow will occur after midnight and toward the pre-dawn hours. Along and to the east and southeast of Interstate 95, the snow may alternate and mix with sleet and rain, limiting accumulations some. Across the entire region, the precipitation may be quite heavy, and temperatures should fall into the upper 20s in our coldest areas to the low 30s elsewhere. Confidence: Low-Medium

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for the latest updates. For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend …


High-resolution NAM model simulated radar at 5 a.m. Tuesday.

Tomorrow (Tuesday): Snow is likely through at least midmorning, affecting the commute. It could continue steadily through midday in our northern areas. In most of the region, any mixed precipitation should become all or mostly snow during the morning as the storm winds up and draws in colder air. Especially early on, there may be areas of heavy snow. Into the afternoon, steady, accumulating snow is likely over in most spots and skies should brighten, but occasional snow showers could continue to cycle in from the north. It’s blustery and cold with highs only in the mid-30s.

Total snow accumulations may vary substantially over short distances, but we expect generally around 3-6 inches inside the Beltway, with the potential for more north and west, and less south and east. Small changes in the storm track and strength could easily lead to lower or higher totals. Confidence: Low-Medium

Tomorrow night: Intermittent and scattered snow showers are possible through much of the night, but become less frequent toward morning. Widespread additional accumulation is not expected, but pockets of the region may experience an additional dusting to an inch. Any slush from the earlier snow will likely refreeze as lows dip into the low-to-mid 20s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Believe it or not, a few snow flurries or snow showers could linger into Wednesday morning. Skies should finally become partly sunny in the afternoon, but it’s windy and unseasonably cold, with highs only near freezing. Clearing and bitter cold at night, with lows 15-20, possibly colder in areas with extensive snow cover. Confidence: Medium

Finally some tranquility Thursday and Friday, but it’s still much colder than normal. Under partly to mostly sunny skies, highs are in the mid-to-upper 30s on Thursday, moderating into the low-to-mid 40s on Friday. Thursday night is another very cold one, with lows in the upper teens to mid-20s. Confidence: Medium-High

Cold weather will continue Friday night into the weekend and, at some point — most likely Saturday, a disturbance will pass through. Yes, it could bring more snow or rain showers. It probably won’t be a big deal, but it may prompt some folks to start begging to have spring back. Highs are generally near 40 with lows in the 20s to near 30. Confidence: Low-Medium

SNOW POTENTIAL INDEX
A daily assessment of the potential for at least 1 inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.

9.5/10 (↑): While some parts of the region could see two inches and others more than ten, we think it’s pretty much assured everyone will see some Monday night into Tuesday.

Dutch Ban Turkish Official From Entry, Erdogan Hits Back With ‘Nazi’ Comment

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Supporters of Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan walk to the Dutch consulate in Istanbul on Saturday. Turkey and the Netherlands escalated their spat on Saturday as the Dutch withdrew landing permission for the Turkish foreign minister’s plane.

Emrah Gurel/AP


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Emrah Gurel/AP

Supporters of Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan walk to the Dutch consulate in Istanbul on Saturday. Turkey and the Netherlands escalated their spat on Saturday as the Dutch withdrew landing permission for the Turkish foreign minister’s plane.

Emrah Gurel/AP

Tensions ramped up quickly between Turkey and the Netherlands Saturday, after the Dutch government not only disallowed Turkey’s foreign minister from holding a public rally in the country, but revoked his flight permit to even land there.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan fumed about the Dutch government after the news, while speaking to a crowd in Istanbul.

« They are very nervous and cowardly. They are Nazi remnants, they are fascists, » Erdogan said, according to The Daily Telegraph.

He also suggested that Turkey may bar Dutch diplomatic flights from landing in his country as retaliation.

Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte responded to journalists, while he campaigned on Saturday. The Netherlands will hold a national election on March 15.

« It’s a crazy remark of course, » Rutte said. « I understand they’re angry, but this of course was way out of line. »

The dust-up began because Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu was planning to hold a rally for Turkish expatriates in support of Erdogan in Rotterham, a city near the coast of southern Holland.

Turkey is holding a referendum vote in April on increasing the president’s power, and many expatriates living throughout the European Union still have voting rights. As of 2015, there were about 75,000 Turkish nationals living in the Netherlands.

Officials in Rotterdam wanted the Turkish foreign minister to meet with supporters in private because of potential unrest, reports Teri Schultz:

« But even before these negotiations were completed, the Dutch foreign ministry says, (Turkey) started threatening sanctions against the Netherlands, which made it impossible to find a compromise and thus landing rights for Cavusoglu’s plane were withdrawn. »

In response, Turkey’s Family Minister Fatma Betul Sayan Kaya decided to go to Rotterham by road from Germany. She said on Twitter that she was stopped about 100 feet from the Turkish consulate in Rotterham, and prevented from entering the building, according to Reuters.

And Saturday evening, the Dutch Embassy in Ankara and its consulate in Istanbul were closed off by Turkish authorities for security reasons, according to a Turkish foreign ministry official who spoke with the AP through customary anonymity.

Early Sunday, Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim said in a statement, « There will be a stronger reprisal against the unacceptable treatment » toward Turkish ministers, according to the AP. Yildirim added, « Our so-called European friends who speak of democracy, freedom of expression and human rights have failed their class.

Recently, a similar yet milder tension arose between Turkey and Germany as well.

The German government canceled a rally by a Turkish minister citing security reasons, as reported by NPR, and President Erdogan responded by saying the practices were « no different than the Nazi ones of the past. »

Erdogan also appeared to threaten the Germans, saying, « If you don’t let me in, or if you don’t let me speak, I will make the whole world rise up. »

In Germany, there are about 1.5 million Turkish expatriates that can vote on the April referendum.

If passed, the referendum would give the Turkish president the ability to impose a state of emergency and to intervene within the judicial system. The referendum would also set a schedule of elections that could allow Erdogan to stay in power until 2029. He first became leader of the country in 2002.

« Yes » voters argue that the new rules would modernize a Turkish constitution that was put in place after a military coup in 1982, reports NPR’s Peter Kenyon. « No » supporters say it would give other branches of government very little power to counter the president.

« It [would be] a strong presidency, nothing like any president of the United States has ever experienced, » one political scientist, Ersin Kalaycioglu, told Kenyon. « If this amendment carries, then for a while, Turkey will have a system with very little, if any, checks and balances, as far as many of the experts can see. »

Millions might lose health coverage? Not to hear Republican leaders tell it.

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Depending on which outside analyst you ask, between 6 million and 15 million people would probably lose insurance coverage if the Republican alternative to the Affordable Care Act passes Congress and is signed into law.

Or, actually, let’s revise that. Depending on whom you ask in Republican leadership, the real number is more like zero — or, perhaps, negative: People will gain coverage under the proposal.

As part of the Republican push for the American Health Care Act, administration officials joined the Sunday political talk shows to offer their thoughts about the future of coverage. With analysis of the American Health Care Act from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office looming, the officials’ predictions about the effects of the bill were far rosier than the analysis offered by the Brookings Institution (15 million losing coverage over 10 years) or Standard Poor’s (6 million to 10 million by 2024).

Here’s what they said.

Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Price: Coverage will increase. Appearing on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” Price offered his vision for what success of the bill looked like.

“Success, it’s important to look at that,” he said. “It means more people covered than are covered right now at an average cost that is less. I believe that we can firmly do that with the plan that we’ve laid out there.”

Last year, Price, then a member of the House, offered an Affordable Care Act replacement bill that was vetoed by President Barack Obama. An analysis of that bill from the Congressional Budget Office figured that 18 million people would lose coverage under that plan.

Price also told host Chuck Todd that “nobody will be worse off financially” under the proposal.

Gary Cohn, chief economic adviser to President Trump: Coverage will be maintained. On “Fox News Sunday,” Cohn was pressed by host Chris Wallace to explain whether the administration would continue to back the American Health Care Act if the Congressional Budget Office also were to predict that millions would lose coverage. He played Cohn a clip from 2015 of Trump on “60 Minutes.”

“I am going to take care of everybody,” Trump said then. “I don’t care if it costs me votes or not. Everybody’s going to be taken care of much better than they’re taken care of now.” He repeated a similar claim shortly before his inauguration, telling The Washington Post that “[w]e’re going to have insurance for everybody. There was a philosophy in some circles that if you can’t pay for it, you don’t get it. That’s not going to happen with us.”

“Twenty million people gained coverage, have health insurance coverage now who didn’t have it before Obamacare. Are some of them going to lose coverage,” Wallace asked, “because, one, you’re going to end over a period of years the Medicaid expansion and, two, the tax credits are not going to provide as much help as the subsidies did to people who can’t afford coverage.”

“Chris, we don’t think so,” Cohn replied. “If you’re on Medicaid, you’re going to stay on Medicaid.”

“But not the expanded Medicaid,” Wallace replied.

“If you’re on Medicaid, you’re going to stay. The expansion is not going to change. There is a roll-off period, there is a period of transition, and we’re very confident that the period of transition is going to work,” Cohn said.

House Speaker Paul D. Ryan: People will make their own choices. Ryan appeared on CBS’s “Face the Nation” with John Dickerson. After Ryan (R-Wis.) offered his prediction that the Congressional Budget Office would estimate that coverage would drop, Dickerson asked how many people the speaker thought might lose coverage.

“I can’t answer that question. It’s up to people,” he said. “Here’s the premise of your question. Are you going to stop mandating people buy health insurance? People are going to do what they want to do with their lives because we believe in individual freedom in this country.”

“It’s not our job to make people do something that they don’t want to do,” he added later. “It is our job to have a system where people can get universal access to affordable coverage if they choose to do so or not.”

It’s worth noting that this contrasts with what the official website for the Republican repeal effort states. Linked prominently from Ryan’s official House website, the public American Health Care Act page explicitly states in a FAQ that millions won’t lose coverage.

Budget Director Mick Mulvaney: Coverage isn’t the important thing. On ABC’s “This Week,” host George Stephanopoulos asked Mulvaney repeatedly whether Trump’s pledge to cover everybody could be upheld. Mulvaney demurred, instead insisting that the coverage itself would be more affordable. “It helps people get health care instead of just coverage,” he said.

After the pair had gone back and forth a few times, Stephanopoulos asked specifically about what would happen if the Congressional Budget Office predicted that millions of people would lose coverage. Mulvaney, like press secretary Sean Spicer last week, pointed out that the office’s estimates of coverage under the Affordable Care Act were off, predicting more coverage than was actually seen.

“If says that fewer people are going to be covered, you’ll simply reject that?” Stephanopoulos asked.

“If the CBO was right about Obamacare to begin with, there would be 8 million more people on Obamacare today than there actually are,” Mulvaney replied. “I love the folks at the CBO. They work really hard. They do. But sometimes we ask them to do things they’re not capable of doing, and estimating the impact of a bill of this size probably isn’t the best use of their time.”

“It sounds like you’ll reject it,” Stephanopoulos said, inadvertently summarizing more than just Mulvaney’s response.

Cheetah Mobile Brings Vertical Video for Every Mobile Moment to Advertising Week Europe

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Grab your cup of coffee or spot of tea, because Michael Murray, Cheetah Mobile’s Director of Ad Sales, will be first up on The Guardian Stage on Wednesday, March 22nd at 9:30AM. Michael’s presentation, “Transitioning to Vertical Video,” will share Cheetah Mobile’s insights in the shift to focus on vertical video advertising. With the help of artificial intelligence technology, Cheetah Ads can help brands find the perfect audience at the right time. Unlike other vertical video ad offerings, Cheetah Ads covers all mobile moments, from pre-social AppLock interactions, in-social experiences like musical.ly and live.me, content moments in News Republic, to utility apps like Clean Master and CM Security. In the second half of the session, Cheetah Mobile’s UK Sales Director, Michael Smith, will lead a panel discussion about the state of vertical video advertising.

Amazon Confirms Its 10th Bookstore Is Coming

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People were surprised when Amazon announced its first brick-and-mortar bookstore in November 2015. Then came No. 2, 3 and 4.

Sixteen months later, Amazon just confirmed to Recode that it is now working on store No. 10 — a location at the Bellevue Square shopping center across Lake Washington from Seattle. Plans for this new location were found in building permits flagged by the building contractor site BuildZoom.

« We are excited to be bringing Amazon Books to Bellevue Square in 2017, and we are currently hiring store managers and associates, » an Amazon spokesperson said.

If it wasn’t clear before, it is now: Amazon really likes the traction it has seen in the four stores that have opened so far and is committed to becoming a physical retailer at scale. New locations are opening in places like Chicago, New York City and the suburbs of New Jersey later this year.

That doesn’t mean the stores still aren’t puzzling. Why does Amazon – bookstore killer – want to become a physical book purveyor? One smart take has been that the stores are as much about selling Amazon devices like the Echo and Kindle as they are about selling books.

When I visited the Seattle location last month, these devices were indeed on display in the physical center of the store. Amazon’s Chief Financial Officer Brian Olsavsky also admitted as much on the company’s last earnings call.

« We test, we innovate, » he said. « We think the bookstores, for instance, are a really great way for customers to engage with our devices and see them, touch them, play with them and become fans. So we see a lot of value in that as well. »

Amazon also showcases some electronics accessories from the AmazonBasics brand in the first Seattle store, as well as items like food processors in the cookbook section.

The stores are also an indirect showcase for the Amazon Prime membership program, because Prime members pay considerably less for books than non-members do. Industry insiders speculate that Amazon could also eventually expand its « just walk out technology » from its new Amazon Go convenience store to Amazon Books locations, as well.

Amazon may never get to the 400 locations that a mall operator mentioned last year, but they are continuing to expand at a fast clip.

According to their website, Amazon Books currently has open stores in:

1) San Diego, California
2) Portland, Oregon
3) Dedham, Massachusetts
4) Seattle, Washington

Amazon says its stores are coming soon to:

5) Walnut Creek, California
6) Chicago, Illinois
7) Lynnfield, Massachusetts
8) Paramus, New Jersey
9) New York, NY
10) Bellevue, Washington — this one just announced

Bosch drives forward its video security with Sony

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AFTER the official approval of the antitrust authorities, the business partnership of Bosch Security Systems and Sony Corporation in the field of video security solutions became effective by Feb. 1, 2017—xcept for in China where the partnership will start on April 1, 2017. Both companies will now focus on strengthening their collaboration that was first announced in November 2016.

The partnership entails a both sales and marketing cooperation as well as a technical collaboration. As part of the sales and marketing partnership, Sony’s video security sales and marketing associates joined a newly formed dedicated team within the Bosch Security System organization. Sony`s video security customers, in all markets except Japan, will be served and supported by this sales and marketing team. “We are happy to welcome these experienced colleagues in our organization and are convinced we will further grow the business with Sony’s products by providing excellent support and service to our customers”, says Michael Hirsch, Vice President for Sales and Marketing of the Sony Security Business within Bosch. “We are delighted that Sony’s video security customers are now being supported by Bosch Security Systems. We are moving forward with this partnership which will feature jointly developed products that fully leverage our industry-leading expertise in video image quality and performance”, adds Toru Katsumoto, Deputy President of Imaging Products and Solutions Sector, President of Professional Products Group, Sony Corporation.

Bosch FLEXIDOME IP starlight 7000 VR

Regarding the technical cooperation, both companies are aiming to set new standards with regard to high resolution video imaging, combined with excellent light sensitivity, complemented by Bosch’s expertise in built-in video analytics and latest bitrate management techniques. In March 2017, Sony will launch eight new Full-HD (1080p) video security cameras within its sixth generation (G6) range of network cameras, meeting the ever-increasing demand for greater image clarity within the video security market. New G6 cameras’ high sensitivity capabilities ensure that the color integrity of images is maintained even in extreme lowlight situations. At the same time, Bosch is updating its portfolio concerning video analytics and bitrate management. Starting as of May 2017, all network cameras from the IP 4000 series will be equipped with built-in video analytics as a standard as well as latest bitrate management techniques combined with H.265 video encoding, reducing bitrate by up to 80 percent. Both Sony’s and Bosch’s innovations will be presented at the ISC West 2017 (April 5-7) in Las Vegas, USA.

The first jointly developed products are expected to be launched in 2018. “We are looking forward to delivering best-in-class video security solutions to our customers for both existing and new market segments”, says Gert van Iperen, President of Bosch Security Systems.

Sony SNC-EB642R

The Bosch division Security Systems is a leading global supplier of security, safety, and communications products and systems. In selected countries Bosch offers solutions and services for building security, energy efficiency and building automation. About 9,000 associates generated sales of roughly 1.8 billion euros in 2016. Protecting lives, buildings and assets is the major aim. The product portfolio includes video surveillance, intrusion detection, fire detection and voice evacuation systems as well as access control and management systems. Professional audio and conference systems for communication of voice, sound and music complete the range. Bosch Security Systems develops and manufactures in its own plants in Europe, Americas and Asia.